Friday, October 24, 2008

L.A. Times reports No on 8 lead is eroding

The L.A. Times reports this morning that the No on Prop. 8 lead is eroding quickly.

Of course, which side is leading all depends on who you ask - which means it will be a close race, to say the least. Here's what the Times has to say:

While California voters remain closely divided on the question of gay marriage, a majority oppose a measure to ban it, according to a poll released Wednesday by the Public Policy Institute of California.

But the poll also found that support for Proposition 8, which would amend the state Constitution to disallow same-sex marriage, has gained somewhat since a similar survey was taken in late August. The latest results show 44% in favor and 52% opposed, with a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points.

Recent polls commissioned by groups for and against the initiative have showed it passing, though most political analysts put less faith in polls funded by partisans than in those conducted by independent groups like the Public Policy Institute.

The institute's president, Mark Baldassare, predicted that the election would be close. Polls on the more general question of how voters feel about gays and lesbians marrying have consistently shown a deeply divided electorate, with voters split almost evenly and passionate feelings on both sides.

With huge turnout expected from younger voters and independents, the election is filled with uncertainties, and polling experts say it poses special challenges for pollsters.

Oh, also be sure to check out this cool graphic that shows where the money is coming from on both the Yes and No sides of the issue. If you scroll over the counties, it also reports how those counties' residents voted on Prop. 22 - pretty cool!

The end is in sight, friends - only 11 days to go! Let's keep up the hard work in these last two weeks!

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busywithconviction said...

I was calling today about Prop 8. Looking for the undecided voter. One man I spoke with had four registered voters in their home. Two were in favor, two opposed. He felt like their votes canceled each other out. I have thought more about this idea. If that was true few of us need to get off our tails and go vote in ten days, but that is not true. Every vote counts and every vote matters. Remind people to vote and vote Yes to 8.